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Red380
4384147.4
5090132.2
3536171.3
Blue280
4405169.0
2620111.2
1528119.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33027802004006008001,0001,200380280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.39.5
124.6134.2
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
red by 2.3
169.010.6
113.2123.9
Auto21.1
Teleop120.8
End28.6
Second
4384
#12
147.45.4
118.4123.8
Auto18.0
Teleop119.0
End8.0
red by 27.5
1528
#30
119.87.6
98.0105.6
Auto14.6
Teleop89.7
End14.7
Third
5090
#33
132.25.9
110.6116.4
Auto15.6
Teleop92.6
End25.5
red by 21.0
2620
#25
111.25.1
105.0110.0
Auto15.1
Teleop85.7
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed