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Red187
123122.4
815123.5
7174128.5
Blue350
6101136.0
6618161.7
3604156.6
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24035404006008001,000187350

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#18
128.58.3
89.497.8
Auto14.7
Teleop102.2
End13.7
blue by 33.2
6618
#10
161.78.8
112.4121.2
Auto16.0
Teleop118.7
End28.6
Second
815
#27
123.59.2
106.4115.7
Auto16.8
Teleop95.8
End11.2
blue by 33.1
156.69.6
116.2125.8
Auto19.4
Teleop113.3
End22.7
Third
123
#32
122.41.3
116.2117.6
Auto18.7
Teleop93.9
End11.3
blue by 13.6
6101
#19
136.010.2
114.4124.6
Auto16.9
Teleop100.4
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned