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Red328
3875150.8
5523117.6
5066104.1
Blue194
4453110.4
3655119.7
1188121.1
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692960100200400500600328194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#11
150.83.9
118.7122.6
Auto20.9
Teleop114.9
End14.2
red by 29.7
1188
#16
121.16.0
106.8112.8
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3
Second
5523
#17
117.64.7
102.5107.1
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
blue by 2.1
3655
#29
119.79.3
109.2118.5
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End6.8
Third
5066
#21
104.12.2
107.3109.5
Auto15.3
Teleop86.0
End4.6
blue by 6.4
4453
#37
110.46.6
99.0105.6
Auto14.3
Teleop86.3
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed