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Red201
6101136.0
522596.5
2620111.2
Blue353
6591112.9
3604156.6
830120.3
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2662960100200400500600201353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6101
#19
136.08.0
124.6132.6
Auto16.9
Teleop100.4
End15.0
blue by 20.6
156.67.6
125.8133.4
Auto19.4
Teleop113.3
End22.7
Second
2620
#25
111.24.1
110.0114.1
Auto15.1
Teleop85.7
End11.9
blue by 9.1
830
#28
120.31.2
112.2110.9
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End13.0
Third
5225
#38
96.53.5
84.387.8
Auto10.9
Teleop75.2
End13.6
blue by 16.4
6591
#24
112.90.1
115.6115.6
Auto17.9
Teleop83.6
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed