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Red284
5066104.1
3536171.3
815123.5
Blue280
7225147.6
5263129.3
6029123.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33026802004006008001,000284280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.38.8
134.2143.0
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
red by 23.7
147.68.1
100.9109.0
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End18.0
Second
815
#27
123.55.5
115.7121.2
Auto16.8
Teleop95.8
End11.2
blue by 5.8
5263
#20
129.38.8
109.8118.5
Auto20.3
Teleop97.6
End10.8
Third
5066
#21
104.12.9
109.5112.4
Auto15.3
Teleop86.0
End4.6
blue by 19.4
6029
#26
123.45.6
101.7107.3
Auto19.5
Teleop89.9
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed