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Red450
1528119.8
1023186.8
6618161.7
Blue256
3875150.8
522596.5
6029123.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3872260100300500600700450256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.83.6
155.9159.5
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
red by 36.0
3875
#11
150.84.2
126.8131.0
Auto20.9
Teleop114.9
End14.2
Second
6618
#10
161.76.1
134.1140.2
Auto16.0
Teleop118.7
End28.6
red by 38.3
6029
#26
123.42.7
112.3115.0
Auto19.5
Teleop89.9
End12.0
Third
1528
#30
119.83.5
111.4114.9
Auto14.6
Teleop89.7
End14.7
red by 23.3
5225
#38
96.52.6
87.890.4
Auto10.9
Teleop75.2
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
43%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed