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Red154
6101136.0
830120.3
7174128.5
Blue427
1718151.3
3536171.3
4810111.8
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2653420100200300400500600154427

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6101
#19
136.03.7
138.0141.7
Auto16.9
Teleop100.4
End15.0
blue by 35.4
171.35.6
148.0153.6
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
Second
7174
#18
128.56.1
108.7114.8
Auto14.7
Teleop102.2
End13.7
blue by 22.7
151.32.0
146.7148.7
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
Third
830
#28
120.31.3
112.5113.8
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End13.0
red by 8.5
4810
#35
111.81.5
109.0107.4
Auto15.1
Teleop86.2
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed