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Red263
1188121.1
5205132.5
5523117.6
Blue397
2834155.3
280116.4
4405169.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413130100200400500600263397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5205
#14
132.50.1
120.5120.4
Auto15.2
Teleop104.0
End14.6
blue by 36.5
169.04.9
138.5143.4
Auto21.1
Teleop120.8
End28.6
Second
1188
#16
121.12.6
117.8120.4
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3
blue by 34.2
155.31.4
142.2143.5
Auto16.2
Teleop125.0
End14.6
Third
5523
#17
117.62.3
112.8115.1
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
red by 1.1
280
#15
116.41.6
106.8105.3
Auto15.0
Teleop91.2
End12.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed