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Red362
6029123.4
3604156.6
4453110.4
Blue120
1528119.8
6591112.9
5090132.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3153050100200400500600700362120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156.60.4
155.0155.4
Auto19.4
Teleop113.3
End22.7
red by 24.4
5090
#33
132.21.6
133.2134.8
Auto15.6
Teleop92.6
End25.5
Second
6029
#26
123.41.6
120.2121.8
Auto19.5
Teleop89.9
End12.0
red by 3.6
1528
#30
119.81.8
124.2126.1
Auto14.6
Teleop89.7
End14.7
Third
4453
#37
110.40.3
109.5109.2
Auto14.3
Teleop86.3
End10.9
blue by 2.5
6591
#24
112.90.3
113.9114.2
Auto17.9
Teleop83.6
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed