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Red316
1718151.3
7225147.6
3875150.8
Blue235
6914110.4
4384147.4
2676110.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3892130100300500600700316235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
151.30.2
152.2152.4
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
red by 3.9
4384
#12
147.41.5
143.1144.6
Auto18.0
Teleop119.0
End8.0
Second
3875
#11
150.82.7
144.1146.8
Auto20.9
Teleop114.9
End14.2
red by 40.1
2676
#31
110.73.6
118.4114.8
Auto15.7
Teleop86.2
End8.7
Third
147.64.2
133.3137.5
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End18.0
red by 37.2
6914
#34
110.41.1
107.4108.5
Auto16.4
Teleop82.2
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed