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Red279
6101136.0
5205132.5
5263129.3
Blue415
3655119.7
4405169.0
862167.6
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273367100200300400500600279415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6101
#19
136.00.9
141.7140.8
Auto16.9
Teleop100.4
End15.0
blue by 33.0
169.04.7
153.9158.6
Auto21.1
Teleop120.8
End28.6
Second
5205
#14
132.53.1
125.0128.1
Auto15.2
Teleop104.0
End14.6
blue by 35.1
862
#6
167.61.7
155.2157.0
Auto22.5
Teleop125.6
End20.4
Third
5263
#20
129.30.6
127.9128.5
Auto20.3
Teleop97.6
End10.8
red by 9.6
3655
#29
119.71.5
122.8121.3
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed