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Red274
6618161.7
1188121.1
1718151.3
Blue70
5523117.6
3604156.6
1528119.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34828810020040050060027470

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6618
#10
161.72.4
156.6159.0
Auto16.0
Teleop118.7
End28.6
red by 5.1
156.61.5
155.4156.9
Auto19.4
Teleop113.3
End22.7
Second
151.30.2
152.4152.2
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
red by 31.4
1528
#30
119.80.6
126.1125.4
Auto14.6
Teleop89.7
End14.7
Third
1188
#16
121.10.4
122.1122.5
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3
red by 3.5
5523
#17
117.60.0
119.6119.6
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed