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Red319
4216168.6
280116.4
6591112.9
Blue338
7225147.6
522596.5
4384147.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3132820100200400500600319338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
168.63.3
155.3158.7
Auto23.6
Teleop126.4
End21.6
red by 21.0
147.62.4
137.5140.0
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End18.0
Second
280
#15
116.42.8
109.6112.4
Auto15.0
Teleop91.2
End12.9
blue by 31.0
4384
#12
147.41.5
144.6146.1
Auto18.0
Teleop119.0
End8.0
Third
6591
#24
112.91.5
114.2112.7
Auto17.9
Teleop83.6
End17.8
red by 16.4
5225
#38
96.50.0
94.294.2
Auto10.9
Teleop75.2
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsEarned29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed