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Red250
6570122.4
4810111.8
862167.6
Blue100
815123.5
830120.3
4453110.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3522550100200300400500600250100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#6
167.62.5
157.0159.4
Auto22.5
Teleop125.6
End20.4
red by 44.1
815
#27
123.50.2
126.6126.3
Auto16.8
Teleop95.8
End11.2
Second
6570
#36
122.40.6
120.4121.0
Auto15.2
Teleop88.7
End19.3
red by 2.1
830
#28
120.32.1
117.4119.5
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End13.0
Third
4810
#35
111.81.3
109.8111.0
Auto15.1
Teleop86.2
End11.8
red by 1.4
4453
#37
110.41.0
109.2110.2
Auto14.3
Teleop86.3
End10.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed