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Red194
6029123.4
3655119.7
7174128.5
Blue357
5090132.2
815123.5
1718151.3
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413290100200400500600700800194357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7174
#18
128.563.4
141.177.7
Auto14.7
Teleop102.2
End13.7
blue by 22.7
151.312.3
108.8121.2
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
Second
6029
#26
123.417.5
61.579.0
Auto19.5
Teleop89.9
End12.0
blue by 8.8
5090
#33
132.214.9
84.399.3
Auto15.6
Teleop92.6
End25.5
Third
3655
#29
119.714.9
84.499.3
Auto16.9
Teleop95.1
End6.8
blue by 3.8
815
#27
123.515.5
79.394.8
Auto16.8
Teleop95.8
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed