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Red230
4810111.8
1528119.8
4384147.4
Blue318
2834155.3
6570122.4
7225147.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853040100200400500600230318

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4384
#12
147.49.3
109.1118.4
Auto18.0
Teleop119.0
End8.0
blue by 7.9
155.39.0
121.4130.4
Auto16.2
Teleop125.0
End14.6
Second
1528
#30
119.812.6
85.598.0
Auto14.6
Teleop89.7
End14.7
blue by 27.8
147.613.2
77.791.0
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End18.0
Third
4810
#35
111.815.1
82.497.6
Auto15.1
Teleop86.2
End11.8
blue by 10.5
6570
#36
122.415.3
80.796.0
Auto15.2
Teleop88.7
End19.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed