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Red191
4453110.4
4327126.4
3875150.8
Blue464
862167.6
6101136.0
3536171.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2443460100200300400500600700800191464

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#11
150.87.7
110.9118.7
Auto20.9
Teleop114.9
End14.2
blue by 20.5
171.39.6
115.1124.6
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
Second
4327
#23
126.47.1
96.9104.0
Auto17.7
Teleop97.3
End12.5
blue by 41.2
862
#6
167.69.9
115.3125.3
Auto22.5
Teleop125.6
End20.4
Third
4453
#37
110.411.7
87.499.0
Auto14.3
Teleop86.3
End10.9
blue by 25.5
6101
#19DQ
136.010.6
103.8114.4
Auto16.9
Teleop100.4
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed49%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned