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Red156
280116.4
5066104.1
830120.3
Blue358
1023186.8
815123.5
2676110.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2573220100200400500600700156358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
830
#28
120.36.5
104.2110.7
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End13.0
blue by 66.5
186.88.3
134.7143.0
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
Second
280
#15
116.45.5
103.2108.8
Auto15.0
Teleop91.2
End12.9
blue by 7.1
815
#27
123.511.7
94.8106.4
Auto16.8
Teleop95.8
End11.2
Third
5066
#21
104.17.5
99.8107.3
Auto15.3
Teleop86.0
End4.6
blue by 6.6
2676
#31
110.78.5
87.896.3
Auto15.7
Teleop86.2
End8.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed