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Red200
6528108.4
123122.4
5090132.2
Blue278
3536171.3
4327126.4
5205132.5
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions246378100200300500600200278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5090
#33
132.20.7
134.8134.1
Auto15.6
Teleop92.6
End25.5
blue by 39.1
171.31.4
169.0170.5
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
Second
123
#32
122.40.5
122.9122.4
Auto18.7
Teleop93.9
End11.3
blue by 10.1
5205
#14
132.51.9
128.1130.0
Auto15.2
Teleop104.0
End14.6
Third
6528
#22
108.40.5
107.9108.4
Auto14.6
Teleop83.4
End8.5
blue by 18.0
4327
#23
126.42.3
122.7125.0
Auto17.7
Teleop97.3
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed