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Red224
2676110.7
4405169.0
5263129.3
Blue392
3875150.8
1023186.8
7174128.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions280395100200500600224392

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.04.4
158.6163.1
Auto21.1
Teleop120.8
End28.6
blue by 17.8
186.83.2
178.5181.7
Auto23.3
Teleop132.3
End33.6
Second
5263
#20
129.30.4
128.5128.9
Auto20.3
Teleop97.6
End10.8
blue by 21.5
3875
#11
150.81.5
146.8148.3
Auto20.9
Teleop114.9
End14.2
Third
2676
#31
110.72.0
114.8112.8
Auto15.7
Teleop86.2
End8.7
blue by 17.8
7174
#18
128.51.8
122.1123.9
Auto14.7
Teleop102.2
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
78%Auto Quest oddsEarned43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed