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Red311
815123.5
2834155.3
5263129.3
Blue250
6591112.9
7174128.5
6914110.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340254100200300400500311250

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
155.30.4
154.3154.7
Auto16.2
Teleop125.0
End14.6
red by 26.8
7174
#18
128.51.9
125.6127.5
Auto14.7
Teleop102.2
End13.7
Second
5263
#20
129.30.0
129.3129.3
Auto20.3
Teleop97.6
End10.8
red by 16.4
6591
#24
112.90.6
112.3112.9
Auto17.9
Teleop83.6
End17.8
Third
815
#27
123.51.6
125.1123.5
Auto16.8
Teleop95.8
End11.2
red by 13.1
6914
#34
110.40.4
109.2109.6
Auto16.4
Teleop82.2
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed46%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed