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Red127
2620111.2
830120.3
6570122.4
Blue332
1188121.1
6101136.0
4327126.4
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263310100200400500127332

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6570
#36
122.40.9
121.5122.4
Auto15.2
Teleop88.7
End19.3
blue by 13.6
6101
#19
136.02.5
138.5136.0
Auto16.9
Teleop100.4
End15.0
Second
830
#28
120.30.7
119.9120.6
Auto17.4
Teleop91.2
End13.0
blue by 6.0
4327
#23
126.40.1
126.3126.4
Auto17.7
Teleop97.3
End12.5
Third
2620
#25
111.20.8
110.6111.4
Auto15.1
Teleop85.7
End11.9
blue by 9.8
1188
#16
121.10.7
121.9121.2
Auto15.9
Teleop96.0
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed