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Red237
4405169.0
1718151.3
4453110.4
Blue365
7225147.6
280116.4
6528108.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions367248100200300400500600237365

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.01.3
166.2167.5
Auto21.1
Teleop120.8
End28.6
red by 21.4
147.62.3
142.6144.9
Auto19.3
Teleop112.4
End18.0
Second
151.30.3
151.3151.6
Auto20.9
Teleop121.3
End7.8
red by 34.8
280
#15
116.40.9
114.9115.8
Auto15.0
Teleop91.2
End12.9
Third
4453
#37
110.40.6
109.9110.4
Auto14.3
Teleop86.3
End10.9
red by 2.1
6528
#22
108.40.1
108.5108.4
Auto14.6
Teleop83.4
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
58%Auto Quest oddsEarned57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed