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Red257
3536171.3
1528119.8
522596.5
Blue249
6852142.0
4810111.8
5523117.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833010100200400500600257249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.30.4
171.1170.7
Auto24.9
Teleop121.1
End26.4
red by 29.3
6852
#13
142.00.6
142.6142.0
Auto16.9
Teleop107.7
End17.9
Second
1528
#30
119.83.0
122.9119.8
Auto14.6
Teleop89.7
End14.7
red by 2.3
5523
#17
117.60.6
117.4116.8
Auto17.5
Teleop95.2
End6.0
Third
5225
#38
96.51.4
95.196.5
Auto10.9
Teleop75.2
End13.6
blue by 15.3
4810
#35
111.80.1
112.0111.8
Auto15.1
Teleop86.2
End11.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed