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Red239
858148.1
7160125.9
5567177.4
Blue343
3357218.2
5046174.4
5860140.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2824040100200500600700800239343

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#17
177.40.0
177.4177.4
Auto22.0
Teleop126.3
End27.9
blue by 40.8
3357
#12
218.20.0
218.2218.2
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
Second
858
#20
148.10.0
148.1148.1
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
blue by 26.3
174.40.0
174.4174.4
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
Third
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto18.8
Teleop93.7
End13.7
blue by 14.4
5860
#24
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto15.8
Teleop106.3
End17.0