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Red383
2771187.8
3620174.1
5501179.4
Blue317
2405145.3
5084141.4
7166135.2
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4372490100200300500600700800383317

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#10
187.80.0
187.8187.8
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
red by 42.5
2405
#22
145.30.0
145.3145.3
Auto16.2
Teleop104.8
End24.8
Second
5501
#16
179.40.0
179.4179.4
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
red by 38.0
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.4
Teleop105.4
End18.5
Third
174.10.0
174.1174.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
red by 38.9
7166
#14
135.20.0
135.2135.2
Auto16.4
Teleop103.4
End15.7