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Qual 112018 Grand Rapids Girls Robotics Competition
Red184
5205143.8
5567177.4
5980154.0
Blue237
858148.1
3357218.2
3875143.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3213760100200500600700800184237

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5567
#17
177.40.0
177.4→177.4
Auto22.0
Teleop126.3
End27.9
blue by 40.8
3357
#12
218.20.0
218.2→218.2
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
Second
5980
#19
154.00.0
154.0→154.0
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
red by 5.9
858
#20
148.10.0
148.1→148.1
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
Third
5205
#9
143.80.0
143.8→143.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
blue by 0.2
3875
#4
143.90.0
143.9→143.9
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest odds57%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
22%Face the Boss odds22%Face the Boss odds