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Qual 122018 Grand Rapids Girls Robotics Competition
Red423
3539190.6
904140.3
5046174.4
Blue290
5860140.3
2771187.8
3770168.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363345200300400500600423290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3539
#2
190.60.0
190.6→190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
red by 2.8
2771
#10
187.80.0
187.8→187.8
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
Second
5046
#7
174.40.0
174.4→174.4
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
red by 5.7
3770
#13
168.70.0
168.7→168.7
Auto19.3
Teleop126.6
End23.7
Third
904
#5
140.30.0
140.3→140.3
Auto19.5
Teleop98.0
End22.9
Level
5860
#24
140.30.0
140.3→140.3
Auto15.8
Teleop106.3
End17.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest odds90%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss odds25%Face the Boss odds