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Red393
5152173.9
2771187.8
5205143.8
Blue302
7160125.9
3620174.1
5567177.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382333100200500600700800393302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2771
#10
187.80.0
187.8187.8
Auto23.3
Teleop140.0
End22.3
red by 10.4
5567
#17
177.40.0
177.4177.4
Auto22.0
Teleop126.3
End27.9
Second
173.90.0
173.9173.9
Auto20.2
Teleop131.6
End21.4
blue by 0.2
174.10.0
174.1174.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
Third
143.80.0
143.8143.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
red by 17.9
125.90.0
125.9125.9
Auto18.8
Teleop93.7
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest odds93%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss odds27%Face the Boss odds