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Red194
2405145.3
5860140.3
6094116.2
Blue273
3770168.7
3357218.2
5501179.4
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2314500100300400500600700194273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2405
#22
145.30.0
145.3145.3
Auto16.2
Teleop104.8
End24.8
blue by 72.8
3357
#12
218.20.0
218.2218.2
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
Second
5860
#24
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto15.8
Teleop106.3
End17.0
blue by 39.1
5501
#16
179.40.0
179.4179.4
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
Third
6094
#25
116.20.0
116.2116.2
Auto13.7
Teleop88.2
End15.9
blue by 52.5
3770
#13
168.70.0
168.7168.7
Auto19.3
Teleop126.6
End23.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest odds97%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds52%Face the Boss odds