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Red212
5084141.4
3534172.8
858148.1
Blue312
3539190.6
5166107.0
904140.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3723030100200500600700800212312

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3534
#18
172.80.0
172.8172.8
Auto18.4
Teleop133.2
End20.6
blue by 17.7
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
Second
858
#20
148.10.0
148.1148.1
Auto18.1
Teleop115.6
End15.2
red by 7.8
904
#5
140.30.0
140.3140.3
Auto19.5
Teleop98.0
End22.9
Third
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.4
Teleop105.4
End18.5
red by 34.4
5166
#15
107.00.0
107.0107.0
Auto15.4
Teleop79.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest odds66%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds9%Face the Boss odds