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Red420
5167132.5
5046174.4
4855184.3
Blue172
5980154.0
5843168.3
5501179.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3493290100200300400500420172

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#11
184.30.0
184.3184.3
Auto21.6
Teleop137.4
End22.5
red by 4.9
5501
#16
179.40.0
179.4179.4
Auto17.2
Teleop135.7
End26.2
Second
174.40.0
174.4174.4
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
red by 6.1
5843
#21
168.30.0
168.3168.3
Auto24.0
Teleop128.1
End14.1
Third
5167
#23
132.50.0
132.5132.5
Auto14.8
Teleop100.5
End14.7
blue by 21.6
5980
#19
154.00.0
154.0154.0
Auto24.4
Teleop111.0
End19.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest odds97%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss odds16%Face the Boss odds