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Red263
3875143.9
2405145.3
3620174.1
Blue262
3534172.8
5166107.0
7166135.2
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3972830100200500600700800263262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174.10.0
174.1174.1
Auto22.2
Teleop130.4
End24.6
red by 1.2
3534
#18
172.80.0
172.8172.8
Auto18.4
Teleop133.2
End20.6
Second
2405
#22
145.30.0
145.3145.3
Auto16.2
Teleop104.8
End24.8
red by 10.1
7166
#14
135.20.0
135.2135.2
Auto16.4
Teleop103.4
End15.7
Third
143.90.0
143.9143.9
Auto18.8
Teleop111.5
End10.3
red by 36.9
5166
#15
107.00.0
107.0107.0
Auto15.4
Teleop79.6
End10.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
52%Auto Quest odds28%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds