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Red379
3357218.2
5843168.3
3539190.6
Blue228
5205143.8
4855184.3
5084141.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4212670100200500600700800379228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#12
218.20.0
218.2218.2
Auto20.5
Teleop169.4
End25.2
red by 33.9
4855
#11
184.30.0
184.3184.3
Auto21.6
Teleop137.4
End22.5
Second
190.60.0
190.6190.6
Auto24.3
Teleop139.9
End24.3
red by 46.8
143.80.0
143.8143.8
Auto20.8
Teleop109.2
End17.2
Third
5843
#21
168.30.0
168.3168.3
Auto24.0
Teleop128.1
End14.1
red by 26.9
141.40.0
141.4141.4
Auto16.4
Teleop105.4
End18.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
98%Auto Quest odds91%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
40%Face the Boss odds10%Face the Boss odds