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Red314
4381153.4
1025170.1
6043135.5
Blue256
4855146.9
7054130.4
5204123.6
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3892540100200300500600700314256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.10.4
169.1169.5
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
red by 23.2
4855
#23
146.90.7
142.3143.0
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
Second
153.40.2
154.0153.8
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
red by 22.9
7054
#11
130.40.3
127.9128.2
Auto17.8
Teleop100.7
End14.5
Third
6043
#28
135.50.4
134.5134.9
Auto15.3
Teleop101.2
End20.8
red by 11.9
5204
#17
123.60.2
123.7123.5
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6