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Red210
4381153.4
1025170.1
6043135.5
Blue396
4855146.9
7054130.4
5204123.6
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882550100200300500600210396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.10.4
169.5169.9
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
red by 23.2
4855
#23
146.90.7
143.0143.7
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
Second
153.40.2
153.8153.6
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
red by 22.9
7054
#11
130.40.3
128.2128.5
Auto17.8
Teleop100.7
End14.5
Third
6043
#28
135.50.4
134.9135.3
Auto15.3
Teleop101.2
End20.8
red by 11.9
5204
#17
123.60.2
123.5123.3
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6