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Red133
4381153.4
1025170.1
6043135.5
Blue458
4855146.9
7054130.4
5204123.6
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3752680100200300500600133458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.10.2
169.9170.1
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
red by 23.2
4855
#23
146.90.8
143.7144.5
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
Second
153.40.3
153.6153.4
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
red by 22.9
7054
#11
130.40.4
128.5128.9
Auto17.8
Teleop100.7
End14.5
Third
6043
#28
135.50.2
135.3135.5
Auto15.3
Teleop101.2
End20.8
red by 11.9
5204
#17
123.60.0
123.3123.3
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6