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Red294
6119114.1
5161126.1
6043135.5
Blue36
6425123.6
6550129.5
6568108.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26728710020040050029436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6043
#28
135.57.7
106.2113.9
Auto15.3
Teleop101.2
End20.8
red by 6.0
6550
#12
129.51.3
121.2122.5
Auto13.4
Teleop105.4
End13.1
Second
5161
#30
126.111.0
82.093.0
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End12.3
red by 2.5
6425
#33
123.64.3
116.3120.6
Auto15.1
Teleop95.3
End13.5
Third
6119
#35
114.14.7
103.5108.2
Auto15.5
Teleop87.2
End13.6
red by 5.4
6568
#32
108.61.1
119.8118.8
Auto16.6
Teleop78.1
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed