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Red375
555997.6
5204123.6
5152169.8
Blue186
4408123.1
6137102.0
5194119.9
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3412310100200300400500375186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.80.1
152.1152.2
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
red by 46.7
4408
#21
123.110.4
80.691.1
Auto18.2
Teleop93.3
End9.0
Second
5204
#17
123.60.4
120.8121.2
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6
red by 3.7
5194
#29
119.98.5
99.9108.4
Auto15.8
Teleop89.3
End13.7
Third
5559
#39
97.610.5
90.4100.9
Auto14.7
Teleop75.9
End6.7
blue by 4.4
6137
#36
102.00.7
98.998.2
Auto16.0
Teleop75.2
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed24%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed