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Red236
6092109.3
5675158.3
6011111.9
Blue410
6090175.8
5204123.6
3538196.5
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2253970100300500600236410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
158.39.2
119.7128.9
Auto20.8
Teleop118.1
End19.3
blue by 38.3
196.50.9
188.0188.9
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
Second
6011
#19
111.97.8
85.593.3
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End13.6
blue by 63.9
175.89.4
116.8126.2
Auto21.9
Teleop127.6
End28.4
Third
6092
#34
109.35.4
91.496.8
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End6.2
blue by 14.3
5204
#17
123.61.0
121.2122.2
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed