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Red120
555997.6
1025170.1
4453113.0
Blue440
4381153.4
5152169.8
7187148.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions302309150200250350400120440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.10.7
170.7171.4
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
red by 0.3
169.80.8
152.2152.9
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
Second
4453
#31
113.00.9
109.6108.7
Auto13.6
Teleop87.3
End14.4
blue by 40.3
153.48.2
114.4122.6
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
Third
5559
#39
97.68.8
100.9109.7
Auto14.7
Teleop75.9
End6.7
blue by 50.7
148.28.6
90.098.6
Auto18.5
Teleop107.6
End25.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
12%Auto Quest oddsMissed41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned