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Red267
6138127.8
6011111.9
5843182.9
Blue397
4408123.1
3538196.5
6550129.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275326100200300400500267397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.91.3
165.4166.7
Auto27.4
Teleop138.1
End17.4
blue by 13.6
196.50.9
188.9189.7
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
Second
6138
#16
127.85.3
106.9112.1
Auto18.3
Teleop96.1
End14.0
blue by 1.8
6550
#12
129.50.6
122.5121.9
Auto13.4
Teleop105.4
End13.1
Third
6011
#19
111.95.2
93.398.5
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End13.6
blue by 11.3
4408
#21
123.15.9
97.2103.1
Auto18.2
Teleop93.3
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsEarned34%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed