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Red187
5161126.1
5248121.8
6053105.8
Blue234
4381153.4
6568108.6
1677111.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions266291100200400500187234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5161
#30
126.17.8
102.0109.7
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End12.3
blue by 27.3
153.49.4
122.6132.0
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
Second
5248
#26
121.80.6
116.2116.9
Auto15.3
Teleop97.1
End8.5
red by 10.4
1677
#27
111.54.7
104.7109.4
Auto16.1
Teleop89.8
End4.3
Third
6053
#40
105.86.2
102.7108.9
Auto13.5
Teleop79.2
End15.8
blue by 2.9
6568
#32
108.60.7
116.5115.7
Auto16.6
Teleop78.1
End16.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed