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Red390
4855146.9
7054130.4
1243148.6
Blue265
6043135.5
5675158.3
1025170.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263750100300500600390265

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1243
#14
148.60.3
136.5136.7
Auto18.8
Teleop111.9
End16.8
blue by 21.5
170.12.1
167.4169.5
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
Second
4855
#23
146.915.7
77.593.2
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
blue by 11.3
158.313.4
98.5111.9
Auto20.8
Teleop118.1
End19.3
Third
7054
#11
130.466.1
143.877.7
Auto17.8
Teleop100.7
End14.5
blue by 5.1
6043
#28
135.515.2
82.097.2
Auto15.3
Teleop101.2
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
49%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed