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Red241
6053105.8
4408123.1
4453113.0
Blue351
5501169.0
1254124.1
5161126.1
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2473410100200300400500241351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4408
#21
123.117.3
63.480.6
Auto18.2
Teleop93.3
End9.0
blue by 45.9
169.00.8
159.6160.4
Auto17.6
Teleop124.6
End28.4
Second
4453
#31
113.00.3
110.4110.2
Auto13.6
Teleop87.3
End14.4
blue by 13.1
5161
#30
126.117.1
64.982.0
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End12.3
Third
6053
#40
105.816.6
68.885.5
Auto13.5
Teleop79.2
End15.8
blue by 18.4
1254
#20
124.11.1
120.0121.1
Auto16.1
Teleop91.0
End15.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed54%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed8%Face the Boss oddsMissed