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Red313
6138127.8
6550129.5
4855146.9
Blue314
5152169.8
5194119.9
6588116.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2923120200400600800313314

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#23
146.93.8
126.0129.7
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
blue by 22.9
169.81.9
156.8158.7
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
Second
6550
#12
129.51.2
122.1123.3
Auto13.4
Teleop105.4
End13.1
red by 9.6
5194
#29
119.90.7
120.7121.3
Auto15.8
Teleop89.3
End13.7
Third
6138
#16
127.83.1
116.7119.8
Auto18.3
Teleop96.1
End14.0
red by 11.8
6588
#38
116.04.9
101.1106.0
Auto15.4
Teleop89.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed