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Red368
7054130.4
5843182.9
858130.9
Blue156
5204123.6
4967135.5
6053105.8
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370251100200300400500600368156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.92.0
169.7171.7
Auto27.4
Teleop138.1
End17.4
red by 47.4
4967
#22
135.51.8
136.6138.4
Auto23.0
Teleop102.0
End9.6
Second
858
#18
130.90.6
128.9129.4
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End8.0
red by 7.3
5204
#17
123.61.0
123.8124.8
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6
Third
7054
#11
130.40.8
122.4123.2
Auto17.8
Teleop100.7
End14.5
red by 24.7
6053
#40
105.80.7
112.1111.5
Auto13.5
Teleop79.2
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned58%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed