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Red429
5462148.0
3538196.5
6011111.9
Blue258
5152169.8
6425123.6
6580106.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386268100200300500600429258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.51.1
194.5195.6
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
red by 26.7
169.82.1
160.8162.8
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
Second
5462
#10
148.03.9
136.1140.0
Auto18.2
Teleop107.7
End24.0
red by 24.4
6425
#33
123.61.4
120.0121.3
Auto15.1
Teleop95.3
End13.5
Third
6011
#19
111.92.1
107.1109.2
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End13.6
red by 5.3
6580
#37
106.60.9
103.7104.5
Auto14.9
Teleop83.4
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed