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Red285
4453113.0
4381153.4
4855146.9
Blue418
5675158.3
6094121.2
5843182.9
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249365100200300400500285418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.41.8
147.6149.4
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
blue by 29.6
182.91.4
171.7173.0
Auto27.4
Teleop138.1
End17.4
Second
4855
#23
146.91.9
133.7135.6
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
blue by 11.3
158.33.9
147.6151.6
Auto20.8
Teleop118.1
End19.3
Third
4453
#31
113.01.0
106.4107.4
Auto13.6
Teleop87.3
End14.4
blue by 8.2
6094
#15
121.20.6
120.9120.4
Auto13.5
Teleop93.5
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsMissed76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed