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Red217
1254124.1
5248121.8
4967135.5
Blue274
3538196.5
555997.6
5675158.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions244400100200300500600217274

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4967
#22
135.51.2
136.5135.3
Auto23.0
Teleop102.0
End9.6
blue by 61.0
196.51.3
195.6196.9
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
Second
1254
#20
124.10.1
124.3124.4
Auto16.1
Teleop91.0
End15.0
blue by 34.1
158.33.5
151.6155.1
Auto20.8
Teleop118.1
End19.3
Third
5248
#26
121.82.3
119.7122.0
Auto15.3
Teleop97.1
End8.5
red by 24.3
5559
#39
97.63.0
108.8105.8
Auto14.7
Teleop75.9
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed